Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000130 0.000143 0.000156 0.000172 0.000190 0.000209 0.000231
2025-11-09 0.000104 0.000123 0.000145 0.000172 0.000204 0.000243 0.000292
2025-11-16 0.000088 0.000109 0.000135 0.000169 0.000213 0.000269 0.000346
2025-11-23 0.000075 0.000098 0.000126 0.000165 0.000218 0.000289 0.000392
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000092 0.000123 0.000167 0.000231 0.000319 0.000456
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121 0.000170 0.000244 0.000352 0.000525
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000081 0.000115 0.000167 0.000247 0.000369 0.000574
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000074 0.000108 0.000161 0.000245 0.000378 0.000609
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000162 0.000254 0.000404 0.000676
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000068 0.000104 0.000163 0.000263 0.000431 0.000748
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000065 0.000100 0.000160 0.000266 0.000448 0.000804
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000062 0.000098 0.000161 0.000274 0.000475 0.000882
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000059 0.000095 0.000159 0.000278 0.000495 0.000952
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000093 0.000159 0.000284 0.000523 0.001041
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000054 0.000089 0.000157 0.000287 0.000542 0.001117
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000153 0.000286 0.000554 0.001180
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000049 0.000085 0.000155 0.000298 0.000593 0.001309
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000048 0.000085 0.000158 0.000311 0.000638 0.001459
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000155 0.000311 0.000654 0.001542
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000149 0.000305 0.000655 0.001588
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000150 0.000313 0.000690 0.001727
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000322 0.000727 0.001881
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000149 0.000324 0.000747 0.001989